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Market pullbacks nearing crossroads

Popular market indexes rallied to 52-week highs before peaking and subsequently correcting. The market pullback nears pivotal initial support corresponding to the convergences of several key technical levels, including the 50-day ma, Mar/May 2023 uptrend, and 23.6% retracement from the Mar-Jul 2023 rally.


Most stock market indexes have broken out above critical resistances, reversing downtrends and confirming intermediate-term uptrends. However, overbought conditions and seasonal weakness warn of near-term corrections within primary uptrends.


The question is whether the declines are the typical 3-5% or deep and extensive corrections (5-10% or more).


Over the next few days to a couple of weeks, stock market indexes will reach crossroads, at least from a near-term perspective. Successful test of support hints at the resumption of the primary uptrend. Failure to find support warns of a deeper correction.


Enclosed are initial supports and resistances for popular stock market indexes:


SPX (4,489.72)


Support: Bottom of the Mar 2023 uptrend channel = 4,447.50, 8/11/23 low = 4,443.98, 7/12/23 gap-up = 4,443.64-4,463.23, 50-day ma = 4,443.43, and the 23.6% retracement from Mar-Jul 2023 rally = 4,418.69.


Resistance: 8/10/23 negative outside day high = 4,527.37 and 8/2/23 gap-down = 4,550.93-4,567.53, 7/15/3 high = 4,578.43, and 7/27/23 reaction high and negative outside day high = 4,607.07.


INDU (35,307.63)


Support: 8/8/23 low = 35,007.41, bottom of the May 2023 uptrend = 34,725, 23.6% retracement from Mar-Aug 2023 rally = 34,676.29, 7/17/23 breakout = 34,588, and 50-day ma = 34,547.16.


Resistance: 8/10/23 high = 35,578.58 and 8/1/23 high = 35,679.13.


NYA (16,116.05)


Support: 8/8/23 low = 16,925.37, 50-day ma = 15,909.59, 7/12/23 breakout = 15,904-15,932, 38.2% retracement from May-Jul 2023 rally = 15,827.70, and 6/15/23 breakout = 15,710.5-15,773.


Resistance: 8/10/23 high = 16,319.90 and 7/27/23 high = 16,458.89.


COMPQ (13,788.33)


Support: 50-day ma = 13,783.97, 23.6% retracement from Mar-Jul 2023 rally = 13,629.11, 6/26/23 low = 13,334.42, Jun 2023 breakout = 13,181.09, 38.2% retracement from Mar-Jul 2023 rally = 13,123.40, and Dec 2022 uptrend = 12,922


Resistance: 6/16/23 high = 13,864.06, 8/10/23 high = 13,947.16, 8/2/23 gap-down = 14,133.85-14,215.64, 7/27/23 negative outside day high = 14,360.20, and 7/19/23 reaction high = 14,446.55.


NDX (15,205.59)


Support: 50-day ma = 15,165.85, 23.6% retracement from Dec 2022-Jul 2023 rally = 14,692.41, 6/26/23 low = 14,687, Jan 2023 uptrend = 14,543, 38.2% retracement from Dec 2022-Jul 2023 rally = 13,922.40, and 5/18/23 breakout = 13,720.91.


Resistance: 6/16/23 high = 15,284.65, 8/10/23 high = 15,366.29, 8/4/23 negative outside day high = 15,523.31, 8/2/23 gap-down = 15,561.36-15,636.57, and 7/19/23 reaction high = 15,932.05.


Source: Charts courtesy of StockCharts.com

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