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Writer's picturePeter Lee

It is all about the 50-day ma!


The 50-day moving average indicator is a popular and commonly used technical indicator for traders and investors. By averaging the previous prices, it smooths the fluctuations, allowing for discernable trends and potential support and resistance zones.


A rising moving average hints at an uptrend. A declining moving average warns of a downtrend. 50-day ma indicator conveys a medium-to-intermediate term trend, while the 200-day ma indicator depicts a longer-term trend.


Because many retail and professional traders deploy the 50-day ma, the technical signals can influence near-to-medium term trends.

General interpretations: (1) Trading above the 50-day moving average is typically bullish, (2) Below the 50-day moving average is typically bearish, and (3) In a rising trend, a successful test of the 50-day ma can lead to the next near-to-medium term rally, (4) Failure to convincingly clear above the 50-day ma warns of the next downtrend, (5) Breakdown below the 50-day ma is typically bearish, and (6) Breakout above the 50-day ma is a bullish development, near-to-medium term.


Traders and investors tend to deploy moving averages for two primary purposes. (1) Determine the integrity and sustainability of the trend, and (2) identify potential support and resistance levels.


The area residing along the 50-day moving average often acts as a barrier. A moving average resembles a brick wall. It does not easily break as prices bounce from support during primary uptrends. Prices tend to falter near these resistance areas on oversold rallies in primary downtrends.


For instance, after a breakout above the 50-day ma, the 50-day ma trendline offers solid support on pullbacks as buyers that missed the previous breakout returns, resulting in the resumption of the uptrend.

Conversely, after a breakdown below the 50-day ma, the 50-day ma trendline can act as formidable resistance on subsequent oversold rallies as sellers look to exit positions.


The spread contraction between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages and the price to the 50-day ma hints at inflection.


Broad markets have recently broken below their respective pivotal 50-day moving averages, increasing the risks for the next market downturn. Any rallies must convincingly clear above these resistances to substantiate retest of the longer-term 200-day moving averages. Repeated failures to surge above these resistances reaffirm the resumption of the primary downtrends.


Source: Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

Source: Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

Source: Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

Source: Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

Source: Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

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